Wednesday, September 20, 2006

What did you do in the war, Timmy?

Thanks again, all of you, for your messages and good vibes. There's a slightly edgy air, as a lot of shops are boarded up, and there are armed troops on street corners. 3,000 reinforcements are coming into BKK from the provinces. I just popped out to load up on water, noodles and chocolate, and everything seemed pretty normal, although shoppers seemed to be hoarding a bit.

On the positive side, not a shot has been fired in anger (as far as we know) and Gen Sonthi, the coup leader, has declared that he'll hand over the reins to a civilian within a fortnight. The general consensus in the city is that it's unfortunate and slightly embarrassing that the army's moved in, as everyone thought the country had moved past that (there have been about 17 since 1932, but the last one up to now was 14 years ago); but if this was the only way to get PM Thaksin and his cronies out, so be it. The guy had, after all, resorted to faking assassination attempts against himself to bolster support.

Key questions now are:

1. How will this play in the countryside and Chiang Mai, where Thaksin's electoral support is concentrated? And what about the pockets of support he has within the military?

2. How will this affect the South, where separatist bombing campaigns have killed hundreds of people in the last two years?

3. What will HM the King do and say?

4. What will Thaksin do? He's almost certainly heading back to his groovy pad in South Ken right now, so feel free to ask him if you see him. He's the one with the amusingly cuboid head and the slightly aggrieved look.

9 comments:

Billy said...

"He's almost certainly heading back to his groovy pad in South Ken right now, so feel free to ask him if you see him. He's the one with the amusingly cuboid head and the slightly aggrieved look."

I'll keep the eyes peeled for him.

Unknown said...

just glad you're okay. funny that, we just talk about when it happened here back then, and it happens there.

i was going to be there for this weekend, now i guess i won't :(

West said...

Hope you are OK Tim - didn't realise that there was a kerfuffle going on until I read your post - you know me and the mainstream media. Still, at least I know it's not a hoax now...

Tim F said...

Everything's fine, Bob. There's a curfew tonight, but that's really a minor inconvenience.

Tree: it's quite safe, but I don't know how long the curfew will last - nightlife may be curtailed. Will let you know.

Billy: he'll probably be delighted to be recognised. Maybe do that offer handshake - pull away hand and wiggle with thumb attached to nose - thing.

Dick Headley said...

The King will go along with it of course. He must have known it was coming.

Molly Bloom said...

I do hope that you are alright Tim. I have been thinking about you all day. I really hope you are safe. Be safe Tim. Best wishes to you. My e-mail is on the Freecycle blog if you ever need anything. Take carexxxxxxxxx

Moominmama said...

You're still posting so the electricity hasn't been interrupted, and that seems promising. Glad you're ok. I've got 2 flatmates from Bangkok who were planning to return home soon. They're waiting to see if it's safe to go back.

Tim F said...

dh: It's not what he does, it's what he says (publicly)that carries weight. Word is that he's cool with the whole thing, but I haven't heard anything official.

molly: All is well. Stay in touch, gorgeous.

CB: It's safe. They just shouldn't make any sudden moves.

Dick Headley said...

Relax,it's just a pro-democracy military coup sanctioned by a constitutional monarch. TIT to coin a phrase.